industri migas: perkembangan, permasalahan dan kebijakan dalam

KONDISI ENERGI PRIMER KONDISI ENERGI PRIMER (MINYAK DAN GAS) INDONESIA(MINYAK DAN GAS) INDONESIA

Disampaikan pada:

Pertemuan NasionalForum Komunikasi Pendidikan TinggiTeknik Elektro Indonesia 2007Yogyakarta, 5 – 6 Desember 2007

OlehOleh::

EkoEko WidiantoWidiantoVP EP Technology CenterVP EP Technology CenterPT PERTAMINA (Persero)PT PERTAMINA (Persero)

PT PERTAMINA (PERSERO)PERTAMINA Page 2

CURRICULUM VITAE

Name : Ir. Eko Widianto, MTPlace of Birth : Semarang, 3 September 1955Marital Status : MarriedAddress : Rancho Indah, Jl. Tanjung 19 / Blok G-21

Tanjung Barat, Jakarta Selatan 12530 Email : [email protected]

Academic Record : 1982 : S1 Geologi UGM1999 : S2 Applied Geophysic ITB

Work History :1982 – 1985 : Pertamina Exploration Division Jakarta1986 – 1993 : Pertamina Exploration Department Plaju1993 – 1994 : Pertamina BPPKA Jakarta1994 – 1997 : Head of Exploration Planning Jakarta1998 – 2000 : Exploration Manager JOB Pertamina – Greka Energy2000 – 2002 : Chief Geophysic Pertamina Upstream

Chairman of HAGI2002 – 2006 : GM JOB Pertamina-ConocoPhillips (Sakakemang) Ltd.2006 – 2006 : Head of New Venture Division Pertamina2006 – now : VP EP Technology Center Pertamina

3

• PENDAHULUAN• PRODUKSI DAN KONSUMSI MINYAK BUMI• PRODUKSI DAN KONSUMSI GAS BUMI• CADANGAN MIGAS NASIONAL • KESIMPULAN

AGENDA


History of Oil & Gas Exploration in Indonesia

Dutch Colonial – Law 8/1971 Era

The history of Indonesia’s petroleum industry goes back to the Dutch colonialism era and was marked by the beginning of systematic oil exploration in 1865. The first well was drilled in 1871, and the first oil field discovery was made in 1885.

Since the independence of Indonesia in 1945 and up to 1950, most oil fields had been discovered in East Java, South and Central Sumatra, and East Kalimantan. In 1966, Pertamina was established as a merger of several upstream and downstream Dutch oil companies.

The new contract system (PSC) was first introduced in the same year. In 1971, a new law no 8 clarified Pertamina’sroles as an upstream and downstream operator, as well as contractors’ regulator. A 2001 law specified the deregulation of the country’s oil and gas industry


REFORM PHILOSOPHYREFORM PHILOSOPHY

• REGULATOR • PLAYER

REGULATOR

SUPERVISOR

PREVIOUSPREVIOUS N E WN E W

2001-RECENT (LAW NO. 22/2001)

PERTAMINA (GOVERNMENT) GOVERNMENT

POLICY’S BOUNDARY

PLAYERPERTAMINA& OTHERS

DOWNSTREAM

UPSTREAM

Heri Purnomo, 2006

1971 - 2001 (LAW NO. 8/1971)


Ref PetroEnergy Magazine No. 6 Year II Oct – November 2005

Note : * PERTAMINA Production = PERTAMINA EP + Joint Company

CALTEX PACIFIC INDONESIA

PERTAMINA*

CONOCOPHILLIPS LTD

TOTAL

CNOOC(SES) BV

PETROCHINA INT’L IND.LTD

MEDCO E&P INDONESIA

UNOCAL

VICO

BPINDONESIA

452.63

136.12

92.80

69

65.93

53.8

52.95

45.24

25.7023.12Oil, MBOPD


PERTAMINA*

CONOCOPHILLIPS LTD

TOTAL

CNOOC(SES) BV


MEDCO E&P INDONESIA

UNOCAL

VICO

BPINDONESIA

452.63

136.12

92.80

69

65.93

53.8

52.95

45.24

25.7023.12


PERTAMINA*

CONOCOPHILLIPS LTD

TOTAL

CNOOC(SES) BV


MEDCO E&P INDONESIA

UNOCAL

VICO

BPINDONESIA

452.63

136.12

92.80

69

65.93

53.8

52.95

45.24

25.7023.12Oil, MBOPD

TOTAL

PERTAMINA*

EXXONMOBIL OIL INDONESIA

CONOCOPHILLIPS LTD

VICO

UNOCAL INDONESIA

PREMIER OIL

MEDCO E&P INDONESIA

KODECO

PETROCHINA INT’L IND LTD

2,679.00

1,107.00

986.00

839.00

613.00

191.00

151.00

115.64

113.7082.68Gas, MMSCFD

TOTAL

PERTAMINA*

EXXONMOBIL OIL INDONESIA

CONOCOPHILLIPS LTD

VICO

UNOCAL INDONESIA

PREMIER OIL

MEDCO E&P INDONESIA

KODECO

PETROCHINA INT’L IND LTD

2,679.00

1,107.00

986.00

839.00

613.00

191.00

151.00

115.64

113.7082.68Gas, MMSCFD

Note : PERTAMINA EP Geothermal Electric Power Capacity : 162 MW

Ref International Geothermal Association, Nov 2005

MWGEOTHERMAL WORLD INSTALLED CAPACITY

USAPHILLIPINEMEXICOINDONESIAITALYJAPANNEW ZEALANDICELANDEL SALVADORCOSTA RICA

2.2281.909

855852

785546

437172.1

161.1142.5

USAPHILLIPINEMEXICOINDONESIAITALYJAPANNEW ZEALANDICELANDEL SALVADORCOSTA RICA

2.2281.909

855852

785546

437172.1

161.1142.5

Ref International Geothermal Association, Nov 2005

MW

INDONESIA TOP 10 OIL and GAS PRODUCERS

7

ProduksiProduksi dandan KonsumsiKonsumsiMinyakMinyak bumibumi


REALISASI DAN PROYEKSI ENERGI PRIMER

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

7000

8000

9000

1990

1992

1994

1996

1998

2000

2002

2004

2006

2008

2010

2012

2014

2016

2018

2020

2022

2024

SB

M/h

ari

Minyak Bumi Batubara Gas Tenaga Air Panas Bumi EBT Lainnya

PT PERTAMINA (PERSERO)

INDONESIA: Oil production (bars) & consumption (dots)

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1600

1800

2000

1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000Year

Thou

sand

s of

bar

rels

of o

il pe

r day

© Energyfiles Ltd


INDONESIA: Oil production forecast to 2050

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1600

1800

2000

1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050Year

Thou

sand

s of

bar

rels

of o

il pe

r day

© Energyfiles Ltd


REALISASI DAN PROYEKSI MINYAK BUMI (SKENARIO PESIMIS)

0

300

600

900

1200

1500

1800

1990 1993 1996 1999 2002 2005 2008 2011 2014 2017 2020 2023

Rib

u Ba

rrel

/har

i

Produksi Skenario Pesimis Kebutuhan Domestik

12

ProduksiProduksi dandan KonsumsiKonsumsiGas Gas bumibumi



INDONESIAN PROVEN OIL AND GAS RESERVES 1980 -2006

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

14,000

1980

1981

1982

1983

1984

1985

1986

1987

1988

1989

1990

1991

1992

1993

1994

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

YEAR

MM

BO

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

TCF

OIL (mmbo)GAS (TCF)

CADANGAN MINYAK DAN GAS TERBUKTI INDONESIA

Annual report OPEC 2006



NATURAL GAS OF INDONESIA(1980-2006 in MMSCF)

0

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

50,000

60,000

70,000

80,000

90,000

100,000

1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005

Gross Production mmscfMarketed ProductionFlaringReinjectionShrinkage

PRODUKSI GAS ALAM INDONESIA(1980-2006) dalam MMSCFD

Annual report OPEC 2006


Catatan: Berdasarkan cadangan P1 dan P2 status saat ini

PEMANFAATAN VS PRODUKSI GAS BUMI(REALISASI DAN PRODUKSI)

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

12000

14000

1990 1993 1996 1999 2002 2005 2008 2011 2014 2017 2020 2023

MM

SCFD

Kontrak Ekspor Kontrak Domestik Tambahan Domestik Produksi CBMImpor LNG Produksi Kemampuan Produksi





Cadangan dan Sumberdaya Migas Nasional

Cadangan dan Sumberdaya Migas Nasional


INDONESIA TERTIARY SEDIMENTARY BASINS

SOUTH CHINA SEA

SULAWESISEA

INDIAN OCEAN

PACIFIC OCEAN

BANDA SEA

400 KM

western

eastern

DRILLED38

UNDRILLED22

NON PRODUCING23

PRODUCING15

NON DISCOVERY15

DISCOVERY8TOTAL OF

60 BASINS

OIL & GAS RESOURCES & RESERVES

OIL (BBO)

GAS (TCF)

RESOURCES

RESERVES

84.47

8.88

384.27

133.37

Status : Jan 01, 1999


OIL RESERVE 1P (MMSTB)

148.6

111.0

2,398.1

682.7

500.4

162.9

0.2

582.392.1

ACEH

CentralSumatra

IRIAN JAYA

NATUNA

East Java

NorthSumatra

SouthSumatra

EastKalimantan

West Java

39.5

10.2

PROVEN : 4,728 MMSTBPOTENTIAL : 5,024.6 MMSTBTOTAL : 9,746.4 MMSTB

INDONESIA OIL RESERVE

DIN

AS

STU

DI E

KS.

& E

VAL

JIA

N-B

AN

G.


NATURAL GAS 2P (BSCF)1P : 91,170.2 BSCF2P : 134,015.5 BSCF 3P : 178,128.8 BSCF

3,896

728

3,22

14,260

5,190 4,395

52,080

31,814

14,782

ACEH

CentralSumatera

IRIAN JAYA

NATUNA

East Java

NorthSumatera

SouthSumatera

EastKalimantan

West Java

3,654

INDONESIA NATURAL GAS RESERVE

DIN

AS

STU

DI E

KS.

& E

VAL

JIA

N-B

AN

G.


WILAYAH KERJA PT PERTAMINA (EP)OIL & GAS POTENTIAL

1476 233

Total: 4 BB0 & 35.5 TCFG9672

8515

625310946

42

349

2466

9581681

535

2330

33

72

108 65

60 24 22

: oil bubble-graph

: gas bubble-graph

2466 : oil in MMbbls9314 : gas in Bcu.ft65 : number of closure

Total Luas WK : 142.510 km2

330 64

2141


Newton (2004)

Awang H. Satyana - BPMIGAS


FOSSIL ENERGY RESOURCES RESERVES PRODUCTION

RESERVE/PRODUCTION

(YEAR)

Oil 86.9 billion barrel 9.1 billion barrel*)

187 TSCF

18.7 billion ton

CBM 453 TSCF - - -

365 million barrel 25

Gas 384.7 TSCF 2.77 TSCF 68

Coal 90.5 billion ton 170 million ton 110

INDONESIAN ENERGY INDONESIAN ENERGY POTENTIAL 2007POTENTIAL 2007


KesimpulanSecara nasional pemenuhan kebutuhan gas hingga 2011 akanterpenuhi.Reserve to Production Ratio untuk minyak adalah 25 tahunsedang untuk gas adalah 68 tahun.Dengan asumsi commercial success dari resources menjadireserve adalah 46%, akan didapatkan tambahan reserve minyak sebesar 40 Billion Barrel dan gas sebesar 177 TCF.Tetap perlunya upaya peningkatan eksplorasi migas Indonesia untuk memenuhi kebutuhan energi primer sesuai target mix energy Option pengalihan sebagian gas alam untuk ekspor menjadiuntuk kebutuhan dalam negri layak dipertimbangkan.Perlunya pembangunan infrastruktur penyaluran gas bumidari lapangan penghasil ke pasar.Proyek gas yang akan onstream sebaiknya tidak mengalamikelambatan

29

TerimaTerima kasihkasih


Natural Gas, 28.57%

Coal, 15.34%

Oil51.66%

Geothermal, 1.32%

Hydro Power, 3.11%

CURRENT ENERGI MIX (1 million BOE)National (Primary) Energy Mix

Coal , 33%

Gas, 30%

Oil,

20%

Biofuel, 5%

Geothermal, 5%

Biomass, Nuclear, HydroSolar Energy, Wind Power, 5%

Coal Liquefaction

2%

RE,17%

Target of Energy Mix 2025 (3 million BOE)

TARGET OF ENERGY MIXTARGET OF ENERGY MIX(PRESIDENTIAL DECREE NO. 5 YEAR 2006)(PRESIDENTIAL DECREE NO. 5 YEAR 2006)



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