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Commodity beginner standard

Jul 27, 2015

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Page 1: Commodity beginner standard

Commodity

EducationPrograms

Page 2: Commodity beginner standard

4 Agenda

1. Keunggulan 2. Produk Komoditi3. Komponen Penting 4. Faktor Penggerak Harga

Page 3: Commodity beginner standard

3

Gold & Silver

Page 4: Commodity beginner standard

1. Logam mulia, terutama Emas

Safe Haven

mengapa?

Page 5: Commodity beginner standard

5

Nilai tukar

“Yang sudah digunakan sejak

5,000 tahun lalu”

Page 6: Commodity beginner standard

6

yang tidak mengenal Inflasi

BPS 2011

Page 7: Commodity beginner standard

7

Daya Beli Uang Terhadap Emas

Page 8: Commodity beginner standard

juga tidak dimanipulasi

QE • AS• Inggris • Euro• Japan

Page 9: Commodity beginner standard

9

Emas bersifat global

NasionalismeIdeologiAgamaRasSuku....

Page 10: Commodity beginner standard

10

Sebagai “komoditi “

Page 11: Commodity beginner standard

11

Sebagai alat Investasi

Page 12: Commodity beginner standard

Porsi investasi emas

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13

Perbandingan:Emas & aset lain, sejak Desember 1999

Page 14: Commodity beginner standard

2. How to get Gold

Page 15: Commodity beginner standard

Untuk Investasi

“GOLDGR” Launch Date: 30 November 2009

Page 16: Commodity beginner standard

16

Kontrak GOLDGR

Kode GOLDGRUkuran Kontrak 100 gram = 1 Lot

Harga Rupiah per gramTick Size Rp.100 per gram (Rp. 10,000/Lot)

Margin Rp. 3 Juta FuturesRp. 20 Juta Spot

Bulan Kontrak Jan hingga Des Jam Perdagangan 07.30 – 04.30 WIBMinimum Penyerahan 1 LotTempat Penyerahan PT. Antam Tbk, UBPP Logam Mulia

Page 17: Commodity beginner standard

17

Perhitungan kontrak GOLD

Harga GOLDGR/JAN = ______GOLDGR per Lot = 100 gr Total = Rp. _________x _________Gr

= Rp. __________,-

Margin = Rp. __________,-

Page 18: Commodity beginner standard

Ilustrasi GOLD

Beli = ______Jual = ______

(Harga Jual – Harga Beli) x Kontrak x Lot= (_____________) x _______ x __ lot= ___________

Page 19: Commodity beginner standard

Untuk Trading

“XAU & XAG”

Page 20: Commodity beginner standard

20

Produk XAULoco London

XAGSilver

Kontrak 100 troy oz 5,000 troy oz

Minimum Tick $0.05 $0.01

Margin/Lot $1,000 $2,000

Spread $0.50 $0.05

Waktu Perdagangan 05.00 – 03.30 WIB*

* +1 Jam di musim dingin (Winter)

XAU

Page 21: Commodity beginner standard

3. Elemen Penting“trading”

1. Kuotasi 2. Bunga 3. Margin call 4. Auto cut

Page 22: Commodity beginner standard

1. Kuotasi Emas

XAU/USD 1,700.00 / 1,700.50

1 troy ounce

bid ask

harga beliharga jual

Spread

Page 23: Commodity beginner standard

Kuotasi Perak

XAG/USD 32.50 / 32.55

1 troy ounce

bid ask

harga beliharga jual

Spread

Page 24: Commodity beginner standard

2. BungaOvernight interest on leveraged product

1. Aset/produk yang memiliki: – Leveraged – Ber-sukubunga

2. Jika posisi disimpan “overnight” akan membayar atau menerima “interest”.

Page 25: Commodity beginner standard

XAU/USD 1,700.00 / 1,700.50

CalculationOvernight interest

1%

buy and hold overnight

100

$....?

Buy1%

Sell 1,5%

360 hari

1 lot Price

Page 26: Commodity beginner standard

3. Margin Call Rules on leveraged product

• Margin? • Dana yang diperlukan untuk mengambil & mempertahankan posisi

per lot.

• Pialang wajib menarik margin transaksi dari nasabah

– Nasabah memiliki posisi terbuka &, – Dana total < 80% MR

Margin call

Page 27: Commodity beginner standard

27

XAU/USD 1,700.00 / 1,700.50

CalculationMargin Call

sell 1 lot and hold overnight

Equity (80% MR)

Kontrak

Equity 5,000

lot

5,000 (80% 1,000)

100 1 ……?

…..? 1,700.00 …….

Page 28: Commodity beginner standard

28

4. Auto CutRules on leveraged product

– Nasabah memiliki posisi terbuka &, – Dana total < 20% MR

Auto Cut

Page 29: Commodity beginner standard

CalculationAuto Cut

XAU/USD 1,700.00 / 1,700.50

sell 1 lot and hold overnight

Equity (20% MR)

Kontrak

Equity 5,000

lot

5,000 (20% 1,000)

100 1 ….?

…? 1,700.00 …?

Page 30: Commodity beginner standard

4. Pergerakan harga

Page 31: Commodity beginner standard

31

Market Movement

Interest Rates Greenback

Commodity Equity

Inversely Correlated

Inversely Correlated

Tandem

Tandem

Page 32: Commodity beginner standard

Pergerakan emas

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33

Harga Emas berfluktuasi

Supply dan Demand

Page 34: Commodity beginner standard

Permintaan Emas Meningkat

India & China = Konsumen TerbesarKeyakinan Analis: China Akan Menaikkan Cadangan Emas Setara Dengan AS, Lebih Dari 700% dari 1,054 Ton Menjadi 8,133 Ton

Page 35: Commodity beginner standard

Produksi Emas Turun

Page 36: Commodity beginner standard

Permintaan China & India

Page 37: Commodity beginner standard

Supply Emas Terbatas

Page 38: Commodity beginner standard

Faktor lain?

EUROPE Crisis

Yunani gagal? US Downgraded

Kembali resesi?

French Fowngrade

Global Slowdown

Page 39: Commodity beginner standard

• Portugal • Ireland • Italy• Greece• Spain

PIIGS (Hutang)

Page 40: Commodity beginner standard

Bom Waktu

Irlandia

Italia

Portugal

Spanyol

Jepang

AS

Yunani

Inggris

Page 41: Commodity beginner standard

Thank YouUgien Priyambodo MarComm Monex Surabaya08223450080008113590066Pin BB1: 79336760Pin BB2: 2AEE34A5