Brochure Studi Kinerja Industri Batubara 2014

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BAB I: PROSPEK INDUSTRI BATUBARA

1.1. Potensi Industri Batubara 1.1.1. Potensi Pasar 1.1.2. Potensi Sumber Daya

1.2. Tantangan Industri Batubara 1.2.1. Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Dunia 1.2.2. Regulasi Pemerintah

BAB II: STATISTIK KINERJA INDUSTRI BATUBARA

2.1. Pertumbuhan Industri Batubara Indonesia 2.1.1. Produksi 2.1.2. Ekspor 2.1.3. Penjualan Dalam Negeri 2.1.4. Impor 2.1.5. Supply & Demand 2.1.6. Harga 2.1.7. Sumber Daya dan Cadangan

2.2. Pertumbuhan Industri Batubara Dunia 2.2.1. Produksi 2.2.2. Ekspor 2.2.3. Impor 2.2.4. Harga 2.2.5. Sumber Daya dan Cadangan

BAB III: PASAR INDUSTRI BATUBARA

3.1. Pasar Dalam Negeri 3.1.1. Konsumsi 3.1.2. Pangsa Pasar 3.1.3. Industri Pembangkit Listrik 3.1.4. Industri Semen

3.2. Pasar Luar Negeri 3.2.1. Konsumsi 3.2.2. Pangsa Pasar 3.2.3. Pasar Cina 3.2.4. Pasar India 3.2.5. Pasar Amerika

BAB IV: PERUSAHAAN BATUBARA INDONESIA

4.1. Posisi Perusahaan terbaik 4.1.1. Peringkat Produksi Terbaik 4.1.2. Peringkat Penjualan Terbaik

4.2. Kinerja & Profil Bisnis Perusahaan Batubara 4.2.1. Adaro Energy 4.2.2. Bukit Asam 4.2.3. Indo TamabangRaya Megah 4.2.4. Bayan Resources 4.2.5. Bumi Resources 4.2.6. Berau Coal 4.2.7. Kideco Jaya Agung 4.2.8. Adimitra Baratama Nusantara 4.2.9. Asmin Koalindo Tuhup 4.2.10. Indomining 4.2.11. Kartika Selabumi Mining 4.2.12. Toba Bara Sejahtera 4.2.13. Mahakam Sumber Jaya

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DAFTAR ISI

STUDI KINERJA INDUSTRI BATUBARA 2014

I. PROSPEK INDUSTRI BATUBARA ........ 1.1 Potensi Industri Batubara .................................................................................................................................................................................... Gambar 1.1. Pertumbuhan Konsumsi Batubara Indonesia, 2010 2014 .............................................................................................................................. Gambar 1.2. Prediksi Kebutuhan Batubara untuk Pembangkit Listrik, 2014 2022 ........................................................................................................... Gambar 1.3. Prediksi Konsumsi Batubara Dalam Negeri Berdasarkan Industri, 2014 ............................................................................................................ Gambar 1.4. Prediksi Konsumsi Semen di Indonesia, 2014 2017 ........................................................................................................................................ Gambar 1.5. Periode Keemasan Penjualan Luar Negeri Batubara Indonesia, 2009 2013 ................................................................................................... Gambar 1.6. Prediksi Konsumsi Batubara Cina, 2010 2040 ............................................................................................................................................... Gambar 1.7. Prediksi Konsumsi Batubara India, 2010 2040 .............................................................................................................................................. Gambar 1.8. Pertumbuhan Volume Sumber Daya Batubara 2004 2013 ......................................................................................................................... Gambar 1.9. Pertumbuhan Volume Cadangan Batubara 2004 2013 .............................................................................................................................. 1.2 Tantangan Industri Batubara ... Gambar 1.10. Perbandingan Harga Batubara Australia dengan Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Cina, India, Indonesia, Amerika, dan Jepang, 2001 2019 ...........

II. STATISTIK KINERJA INDUSTRI BATUBARA ...... 2.1 Pertumbuhan Industri Batubara Indonesia ......................................................................................................................................................... Gambar 2.1. Tren Pertumbuhan Volume Produksi Batubara Indonesia (Versi ESDM dan EIA), 2000 2014 ....................................................................... Gambar 2.2. Tren Pertumbuhan Volume Ekspor Batubara Indonesia Versi BPS, BI, dan Kementerian ESDM, 2006 2013 ............................................. Gambar 2.3. Perbandingan Tren Volume dan Nilai Ekspor Batubara Indonesia, 2005 2013 ............................................................................................. Gambar 2.4. Perbandingan Tren Volume dan Nilai Ekspor Batubara Indonesia Setiap Bulan, Januari 2009 Desember 2013 ........................................ Gambar 2.5. Tren Pertumbuhan Penjualan Batubara Dalam Negeri (Domestik), 2000 2014 ........................................................................................... Gambar 2.6. Tren Pertumbuhan Volume Impor Batubara Indonesia Versi ESDM, 2000 2011 ............................................................................................ Gambar 2.7. Tren Pertumbuhan Volume Impor Batubara Indonesia Versi BI, 2007 2013 ................................................................................................. Gambar 2.8. Tren Supply & Demand Batubara Indonesia, 2000 2014 ............................................................................................................................. Gambar 2.9. Tren Pertumbuhan Harga Batubara Acuan (HBA) Setiap Bulan, Januari 2009 Maret 2014.......................................................................... Gambar 2.10. Perbandingan Harga Batubara Acuan dengan Volume Ekspor, Januari 2009 Desember 2013 .................................................................. Gambar 2.11. Perbandingan Harga Batubara Acuan dengan Nilai Ekspor, Januari 2009 Desember 2013......................................................................... Gambar 2.12. Tren Jumlah Sumber Daya dan Cadangan Batubara Indonesia 2004 2013 ................................................................................................ Gambar 2.13. Komposisi Kualitas Sumber Daya dan Cadangan Batubara Indonesia Berdasarkan Jumlah Kalori, 2012 ................................................... Gambar 2.14. Jumlah Sumber Daya dan Cadangan Batubara Indonesia Berdasarkan Propinsi, 2012.................................................................................. 2.2 Pertumbuhan Industri Batubara Dunia .................................................................................................................................................................. Gambar 2.15. Tren Volume Produksi Batubara Enam Negara Produsen Terbesar Dunia, 1980 2012 ........................................................................... Gambar 2.16. Posisi Enam Negara Produsen Batubara Terbesar Dunia, 2012 ...................................................................................................................

1 2 2 2 3 3 4 5 5 6 6 7 7

12

13 13 14 15 16 17 20 20 21 22 23 23 24 25 26 27 27 27

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DAFTAR GAMBAR DAN TABEL

STUDI KINERJA INDUSTRI BATUBARA 2014

Gambar 2.17. Prediksi Tren Volume Produksi Batubara Empat Negara Besar dan Total Dunia, 2015 2040 ................................................................... Gambar 2.18. Tren Volume Ekspor Batubara Lima Negara Eksportir Terbesar Dunia, 1980 2011 ................................................................................ Gambar 2.19. Posisi Lima Negara Eksportir Batubara Terbesar Dunia, 2011 ....................................................................................................................... Gambar 2.20. Tren Volume Impor Batubara Lima Negara Utama Dunia, 1980 2011 ..................................................................................................... Gambar 2.21. Prediksi Pertumbuhan Volume Impor Batubara Empat Negara Utama Dunia, 2011 2040 ...................................................................... Gambar 2.22. Perbandingan Tren Harga Batubara Acuan Indonesia, Australia, dan Columbia, Januari 2009 Desember 2013 ..................................... Gambar 2.23. Persentase Cadangan Batubara Dunia Berdasarkan Wilayah, 2010 ................................................................................................................ Gambar 2.24. Volume dan Persentase Cadangan Batubara Dunia Berdasarkan Negara, 2010 ......................................................................................... Tabel 2.1. Cadangan Batubara di Berbagai Negara di Dunia, 2010 ..........................................................................................................................................

III. PASAR INDUSTRI BATUBARA INDONESIA ...... 3.1 Pasar Dalam Negeri ............................................................................................................................................................................................. Gambar 3.1. Tren Pertumbuhan Konsumsi Batubara Dalam Negeri, 2000 2013 ............................................................................................................. Gambar 3.2. Prediksi Konsumsi Batubara Dalam Negeri Berdasarkan Sektor Industri, 2014 ............................................................................................ Gambar 3.3. Pangsa Pasar dan Volume Konsumsi Batubara Dalam Negeri Berdasarkan Sektor Industri Indonesia, 2000 2011 ....................................... Gambar 3.4. Volume Konsumsi Batubara oleh Pembangkit Listrik, 2003 2013 ................................................................................................................. Gambar 3.5. Prediksi Komposisi Batubara untuk PLN, Anak Perusahaan PLN, dan Pembangkit Listrik Swasta, 2014 ......................................................... Gambar 3.6. Prediksi Kebutuhan Batubara untuk Pembangkit Listrik, 2014 2022 .......................................................................................................... Tabel 3.1. Prediksi Produksi Pembangkit Listrik dengan Bahan Bakar Batubara dan Bahan Bakar Lainnya, 2014 2022 ................................................. Gambar 3.7. Komposisi Batubara dalam Bauran Energi yang Digunakan PT. PLN, 2008 2012 .................................................................. Gambar 3.8. Konsumsi Batubara oleh PT. PLN Berdasarkan Wilayah dan Anak Perusahaan, 2012 ................................................................................... Gambar 3.9. Harga Batubara Rata-rata oleh PT. PLN, 2004 2013 .................................................................................................................................... Gambar 3.10. Harga Batubara Berdasarkan Wilayah Kerja PLN dan Anak Perusahaan PLN, 2012 ..................................................................................... Tabel 3.2. Daftar Pemasok/Suplier Batubara ke PT. PLN ...................................................................................................................................................... Gambar 3.11. Pertumbuhan Konsumsi Semen Dalam Negeri, 2002 2013 ....................................................................................................................... Gambar 3.12. Pertumbuhan Konsumsi Semen Dalam Negeri Berdasarkan Wilayah di Indonesia, 2012 2013 ................................................................. Gambar 3.13. Prediksi Produksi, Konsumsi, dan Kapasitas Terpasang Semen di Indonesia, 2014 2017........................................................................... Gambar 3.14. Konsumsi Batubara PT. Semen Indonesia, 2011 2012 .............................................................................................................................. Gambar 3.15. Konsumsi Batubara PT. Indocement Tunggal Perkasa, 2010 2012 ........................................................................................................... 3.2 Pasar Luar Negeri ................................................................................................................................................................................................. Gambar 3.16. Volume Konsumsi Batubara Enam Negara Utama Dunia, 1980 2012 ......................................................................................................... Gambar 3.17. Prediksi Volume Konsumsi Batubara Dunia, 1980 2040 .............................................................................................................................. Gambar 3.18. Prediksi Komposisi Konsumsi Dunia terhadap Batubara Berdasarkan Sektor Industri, 2010 2040 ............................................................. Gambar 3.19. Pangsa Pasar dan Volume Penjualan Ekspor Batubara Indonesia Berdasarkan Negara, 2006 2012 .......................................................... Gambar 3.20. Komposisi Pasar Ekspor Batubara Indonesia di Pasar Luar Negeri, 2011 2012 ..........................................................................................

28 29 29 30 30 31 32 32 33

34 35 35 35 36 37 38 38 38 39 40 41 41 42 43 44 44 45 45 46 46 46 47 48 49

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DAFTAR GAMBAR DAN TABEL

STUDI KINERJA INDUSTRI BATUBARA 2014

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DAFTAR GAMBAR DAN TABEL

STUDI KINERJA INDUSTRI BATUBARA 2014

Gambar 3.21. Komposisi Pemasok Batubara ke Cina Berdasarkan Asal Negara, 2012 ....................................................................................................... Gambar 3.22. Konsumsi Batubara Cina, 2000 2012 .......................................................................................................................................................... Gambar 3.23. Prediksi Total Konsumsi Cina, 2015 2040 .................................................................................................................................................. Gambar 3.24. Prediksi Total Konsumsi Cina terhadap Batubara Berdasarkan Sektor Industri, 2020 2040 ..................................................................... Gambar 3.25. Volume Impor Batubara India, 2009 2013 ................................................................................................................................................. Gambar 3.26. Prediksi Volume Konsumsi Batubara India, 2010 2040 ............................................................................................................................. .. Gambar 3.27. Volume Konsumsi Batubara Amerika, 2007 2013 ....................................................................................................................................... Gambar 3.28. Prediksi Volume Konsumsi Batubara Amerika, 2009 2040 ........................................................................................................................

IV. PERUSAHAAN BATUBARA INDONESIA .......... 4.1. Posisi Perusahaan Terbaik .................................................................................................................................................................................... Gambar 4.1. Peringkat Produksi Perusahaan Batubara Utama Indonesia, 2009 2013 .................................................................................................... Gambar 4.2. Peringkat Penjualan Batubara Perusahaan Batubara Utama Indonesia, 2010 2013 ................................................................................. 4.2. Kinerja & Profil Bisnis Perusahaan Batubara ........................................................................................................................................................... Gambar 4.3. Struktur Bisnis Adaro Energy dan Anak Perusahaannya ............................................................................................................................. ....... Gambar 4.4. Tren Volume Produksi Batubara Adaro Energy, 1992 2013 ......................................................................................................................... Gambar 4.5. Tren Volume Penjualan Batubara Adaro Energy, 1992 2013 ........................................................................................................................ Gambar 4.6. Komposisi Volume Penjualan Batubara Dalam Negeri Vs Ekspor dari Adaro Energy, 2005 2013 .............................................................. Gambar 4.7. Pangsa Pasar Penjualan Batubara Adaro Energy, 2013 ................................................................................................................................. Gambar 4.8. Pangsa Pasar Penjualan Batubara Adaro Energy Berdasarkan Negara, 2012 2013 ....................................................................................... Gambar 4.9. Pangsa Pasar Penjualan Batubara Adaro Energy Berdasarkan Industri, 2012 2013 .................................................................................... Tabel 4.1. Sumber Daya dan Cadangan Batubara Adaro Energy, 2013 .............................................................................................................................. Gambar 4.10. Lokasi Operasional Pertambangan Batubara Adaro Energy dan Anak Perusahaannya ................................................................................. Gambar 4.11. Kinerja Keuangan Adaro Energy, 2008 2013 .............................................................................................................................................. Tabel 4.2. Kinerja Keuangan Perusahaan Adaro Energy, 2008 2013 ............................................................................................................................... Gambar 4.12. Struktur Bisnis PT Bukit Asam dan Anak Perusahaannya .................................................................................................................................. Gambar 4.13. Tren Volume Produksi Batubara PT Bukit Asam, 2002 2013 .................................................................................................................... Gambar 4.14. Tren Volume Penjualan dan Prediksi Penjualan Batubara PT Bukit Asam, 2002 2017 ............................................................................. Gambar 4.15. Pangsa Pasar Penjualan Batubara PT Bukit Asam, 2012 2013 .................................................................................................................... Gambar 4.16. Tren Harga Batubara PT Bukit Asam untuk Pasar Domestik dan Pasar Ekspor, 2008 2013 ........................................................................ Gambar 4.17. Total Sumber Daya dan Cadangan Batubara PT Bukit Asam, 2013 ................................................................................................................. Gambar 4.18. Lokasi Operasional PT Bukit Asam dan Anak Perusahaannya, 2013 ............................................................................................................. Gambar 4.19. Kinerja Keuangan PT Bukit Asam, 2009 2013 ............................................................................................................................................... Tabel 4.3. Kinerja Keuangan Perusahaan PT Bukit Asam, 2009 2013 .............................................................................................................................. Gambar 4.20. Struktur Bisnis Indo Tambangraya Megah dan Anak Perusahaannya ............................................................................................................. Gambar 4.21. Struktur Bisnis Indo Tambangraya Megah dan Anak Perusahaannya .............................................................................................................

50 50 51 51 52 52 53 53

54 55 55 56 57 57 58 59 60 61 62 62 63 64 65 65 66 67 68 69 69 70 71 72 72 73 74

DAFTAR GAMBAR DAN TABEL

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DAFTAR GAMBAR DAN TABEL

STUDI KINERJA INDUSTRI BATUBARA 2014

Gambar 4.22. Tren Volume Produksi Batubara Indo Tambangraya Megah, 2009 2013 ...................................................................................................... Gambar 4.23. Tren Volume Penjualan Batubara Indo Tambangraya Megah Berdasarkan Anak Perusahaan, 2010 2013 .............................................. Gambar 4.24. Tren Volume Penjualan Batubara Indo Tambangraya Megah Berdasarkan Negara, 2009 2013 .............................................................. Gambar 4.25. Tren Harga Batubara Indo Tambangraya Megah, 2010 2013 ...................................................................................................................... Gambar 4.26. Pangsa Pasar Penjualan Batubara Indo Tambangraya Megah Berdasarkan Negara, 2011 2013 .............................................................. Gambar 4.27. Sumber Daya dan Cadangan Batubara Indo Tambangraya Megah, 2011 2013 ........................................................................................ Tabel 4.4. Sumber Daya dan Cadangan Batubara Indo Tambangraya Megah dan Anak Perusahaannya, 2011 2013 ........................................................ Gambar 4.28. Lokasi Operasional Indo Tambangraya Megah dan Anak Perusahaannya, 2013 .......................................................................................... Gambar 4.29. Kinerja Keuangan Indo Tambangraya Megah, 2009 2013 ........................................................................................................................... Tabel 4.5. Kinerja Keuangan Indo Tambangraya Megah, 2009 2013 ............................................................................................................................... Gambar 4.30. Tren Volume Produksi Batubara Bayan Resources, 2008 2013 ................................................................................................................ Gambar 4.31. Tren Volume Penjualan Batubara Bayan Resources, 2009 2013 .............................................................................................................. Gambar 4.32. Pangsa Pasar Batubara Bayan Resources, 2013 ............................................................................................................................................ Gambar 4.33. Tren Nilai Penjualan Batubara Bayan Resources Berdasarkan Segmen Pasar, 2011 2013 .......................................................................... Tabel 4.6. Sumber Daya dan Cadangan Batubara Bayan Resources, 2013 ............................................................................................................................. Gambar 4.34. Kinerja Keuangan Bayan Resources, 2009 2013 ......................................................................................................................................... Tabel 4.7. Kinerja Keuangan Bayan Resources, 2010 2013 ............................................................................................................................. .................... Gambar 4.35. Biaya Produksi Batubara BUMI, KPC, dan Arutmin, 2010 2012 ...................................................................................................................... Gambar 4.36. Volume Pertambangan Batubara KPC & Arutmin, 2011 2013 .................................................................................................................... Gambar 4.37. Volume Produksi Batubara KPC & Arutmin, 2011 2013 ............................................................................................................................... Gambar 4.38. Volume Produksi Batubara Arutmin Berdasarkan Wilayah Kerja, 2011 2012 ........................................................................................... Gambar 4.39. Volume Pertambangan Batubara Arutmin Berdasarkan Wilayah Kerja, 2011 2012 ................................................................................... Gambar 4.40. Volume Produksi Batubara KPC Berdasarkan Wilayah Kerja, 2011 2012 ................................................................................................... Gambar 4.41. Volume Pertambangan Batubara KPC Berdasarkan Wilayah Kerja, 2011 2012 .......................................................................................... Gambar 4.42. Volume Penjualan Batubara KPC & Arutmin, 2011 2013 ........................................................................................................................... Gambar 4.43. Volume Penjualan Batubara Arutmin Berdasarkan Wilayah Kerja, 2011 2012 ........................................................................................... Gambar 4.44. Pangsa Pasar Batubara Bumi Resources Berdasarkan Negara, 2012 ............................................................................................................ Tabel 4.8. Volume Penjualan Batubara BUMI Resources Berdasarkan Negara, 2012 ........................................................................................................... Tabel 4.9. Sumber Daya dan Cadangan Batubara KPC, 2011 2012 ....................................................................................................................................... Tabel 4.10. Sumber Daya dan Cadangan Batubara Arutmin, 2011 2012 ........................................................................................................................... Gambar 4.45. Lokasi Opersional Kaltim Prima Coal (KPC), 2013 ......................................................................................................................................... Gambar 4.46. Lokasi Operasional Arutmin, 2013 ................................................................................................................................................................. Gambar 4.47. Kinerja Keuangan BUMI Resources, 2009 2013 ......................................................................................................................................... Tabel 4.11. Kinerja Keuangan BUMI Resources, 2009 2013 ............................................................................................................................................... Gambar 4.48. Volume Produksi Batubara Berau Coal, 2009 2013 ...................................................................................................................................... Gambar 4.49. Volume Penjualan Batubara Berau Coal, 2010 2013 ..................................................................................................................................... Gambar 4.50. Pangsa Pasar Batubara Berau Coal, 2011 2012 .............................................................................................................................................. Gambar 4.51. Jumlah Sumber Daya dan Cadangan Batubara Berau Coal, 2012 ...............................................................................................................

75 76 77 78 78 79 79 80 81 81 83 84 85 85 86 88 88 90 90 90 91 91 92 92 93 93 94 94 95 95 96 97 98 98 99 100 101 102

Tabel 4.12. Sumber Daya Batubara Berau Coal, 2012 ......................................................................................................................................................... Gambar 4.52. Lokasi Operasional Berau Coal, 2012 ............................................................................................................................................................ Gambar 4.53. Pendapatan Berau Coal Berdasarkan Perusahaan Pembeli, 2011 2013 ..................................................................................................... Gambar 4.54. Pendapatan Berau Coal Berdasarkan Negara Target Penjualan, 2011 2013 ............................................................................................. Gambar 4.55. Kinerja Penjualan dan Laba Bersih Berau Coal, 2010 2013 ........................................................................................................................ Tabel 4.13. Kinerja Keuangan Berau Coal, 2008 2013 ...................................................................................................................................................... Gambar 4.56. Volume Produksi Batubara Kideco Jaya Agung, 1998 2013 ........................................................................................................................ Gambar 4.57. Volume Penjualan Batubara Kideco Jaya Agung, 2000 2013 ................................................................................................................... Gambar 4.58. Pangsa Pasar Penjualan Batubara Kideco Jaya Agung, 2012 ....................................................................................................................... Gambar 4.59. Sumber Daya dan Cadangan Batubara Kideco Jaya Agung, 2012 .................................................................................................................. Gambar 4.60. Lokasi Operasional Kideco Jaya Agung ........................................................................................................................................................... Gambar 4.61. Kinerja Keuangan Kideco Jaya Agung, 2008 2013 ..................................................................................................................................... Tabel 4.14. Kinerja Keuangan Kideco Jaya Agung, 2008 2013 ........................................................................................................................................... Gambar 4.62. Kinerja Operasional PT. Adimitra Baratama Nusantara ................................................................................................................................. Gambar 4.63. Pangsa Pasar PT. Adimitra Baratama Nusantara .......................................................................................................................................... Gambar 4.64. Lokasi Operasional PT. Adimitra Baratama Nusantara .................................................................................................................................. Gambar 4.65. Kinerja Operasional PT. Asmin Koalindo Tuhup, 2009 2011 ........................................................................................................................ Gambar 4.66. Pangsa Pasar PT. Asmin Koalindo Tuhup, 2011 ............................................................................................................................................. Gambar 4.67. Lokasi Operasional PT. Asmin Koalindo Tuhup ............................................................................................................................................. Gambar 4.68. Kinerja Operasional PT. Indomining, 2007 2012 ........................................................................................................................................ Gambar 4.69. Pangsa Pasar dan Penjualan PT. Indomining, 2009 2011 .......................................................................................................................... Gambar 4.70. Lokasi Operasional PT. Indomining ................................................................................................................................................................. Gambar 4.71. Kinerja Operasional PT. Kartika Selabumi Mining, 2007 2011 ..................................................................................................................... Gambar 4.72. Pangsa Pasar PT. Kartika Selabumi Mining ................................................................................................................................................... Gambar 4.73. Lokasi Operasional PT. Kartika Selabumi Mining ......................................................................................................................................... Gambar 4.74. Kinerja Opeasional PT. Toba Bara Sejahtera, 2008 2013 ............................................................................................................................ Gambar 4.75. Pangsa Pasar PT. Toba Bara Sejahtera .......................................................................................................................................................... Gambar 4.76. Lokasi Operasional PT. Toba Bara Sejahtera ................................................................................................................................................... Gambar 4.77. Kinerja Operasional PT. Mahakam Sumber Jaya, 2011 2013 ...................................................................... ............................................... Gambar 4.78. Pangsa Pasar PT. Mahakam Sumber Jaya ..................................................................................................................................................... Gambar 4.79. Lokasi Operasional PT. Mahakam Sumber Jaya ...........................................................................................................................................

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DAFTAR GAMBAR DAN TABEL

STUDI KINERJA INDUSTRI BATUBARA 2014

102 103 104 104 105 105 106 107 108 109 110 111 111 112 112 112 113 113 113 114 114 114 115 115 115 116 116 116 117 117 117

2.1.6. HARGA

2.1. PERTUMBUHAN INDUSTRI BATUBARA INDONESIA

Harga Batubara Turun, Volume Ekspor Terus Tumbuh Turunnya harga batubara dunia dan harga batubara acuan Indonesia ternyata tidak membuat volume ekspor ikut turun. Ini menunjukan bahwa pasar tetap membutuhkan batubara Indonesia, namun karena terjadi kelebihan suplai batubara di pasar dunia, maka harga batubara menjadi turun. Untuk itu, agar harga kembali naik dan seperti di awal 2011, maka perlu adanya pembatasan ekspor atau mulai fokus pada pasar dalam negeri.

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Gambar 2.10. Perbandingan Harga Batubara Acuan dengan Volume Ekspor, Januari 2009 Desember 2013 Sumber: Diolah dari Bank Indonesia dan Kementerian ESDM

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Gambar 2.11. Perbandingan Harga Batubara Acuan dengan Nilai Ekspor, Januari 2009 Desember 2013 Sumber: Diolah dari Bank Indonesia dan Kementerian ESDM

Harga Batubara Turun, Nilai Ekspor Ikut Turun Sebuah ironi, ketika harga batubara turun dan volume ekspor tetap naik, tetapi nilai ekspor tidak stabil, malah semakin turun. Ini menunjukan bahwa harga batubara semakin lemah bila ekspor terus naik dan fenomena kelebihan suplai tetap terjadi. Karena itu, pemerintah ikut turun tangan agar para pelaku bisnis batubara dalam negeri mengarahkan penjualannya pada pasar dalam negeri. Dengan begitu, maka volume ekspor menjadi turun dan fenomena kelebihan suplai batubara dapat terselesaikan.

STUDI KINERJA INDUSTRI BATUBARA 2014

CONTOH TAMPILAN

57,40

1,39

19,91

Pembangkit PLN

Anak Perusahaan PLN

Produsen Listrik Swasta

3.1.3. INDUSTRI PEMBANGKIT LISTRIK

3.1. PASAR DALAM NEGERI

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Gambar 3.5. Prediksi Kompoisis Batubara untuk PLN, Anak Perusahaan PLN, dan Pembangkit Listrik Swasta, 2014 Sumber: Diolah dari PLN dan Kementerian ESDM

Total 2014 78,7 Juta Ton

78,7 83 94 106

114 120 131 143

151

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022

Batubara (Juta ton)

Gambar 3.6. Prediksi Kebutuhan Batubara untuk Pembangkit Listrik, 2014 - 2022 Sumber: Diolah dari PLN dan Kementerian ESDM

5,5%

13,3% 12,8%

7,5% 5,3%

9,2% 9,2% 5,6%

Pertumbuhan

Tahun 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022

HSD 22.668 17.288 12.476 9.702 5.918 6.072 5.874 6.266 6.855

MFO 4.662 5.524 5.179 3.980 635 656 653 660 721

Gas 44.317 45.895 48.860 49.929 45.149 41.762 40.504 39.990 42.553

LNG 10.105 13.695 16.472 18.564 26.771 26.839 27.038 28.554 29.753

Batubara 134.066 153.229 173.111 189.722 211.721 226.459 250.577 273.059 288.807

Hydro 10.457 11.127 11.743 14.635 15.227 16.209 18.196 20.062 21.990

Surya/Hybrid 4 4 5 6 6 6 6 7 7

Biomass 37 37 105 148 117 109 109 109 109

Impor - 767 767 767 657 767 767 767 767

Geothermal 10.375 10.618 11.179 14.693 18.575 29.849 31.695 36.050 48.089

Tabel 3.1. Prediksi Produksi Pembangkit Listrik dengan Bahan Bakar Batubara dan Bahan Bakar Lainnya, 2014 2022 (GWH)

Sumber: Diolah dari PLN dan Kementerian ESDM

STUDI KINERJA INDUSTRI BATUBARA 2014

CONTOH TAMPILAN

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